The IPC Acute Food Insecurity Updated Projection Analysis for Lebanon: April–August 2026 was published on 29 April 2026. The report assesses the worsening food security situation in Lebanon following the escalation of conflict and displacement that began in early March 2026. It covers Lebanese residents, Syrian refugees, Palestine refugees, and post-December 2024 arrivals from Syria, and highlights how conflict, displacement, rising food and fuel prices, market disruption, and reduced humanitarian assistance are pushing more people into acute food insecurity.
Key insights:
Around 1.24 million people, or 24% of the analysed population, are projected to face high levels of acute food insecurity between April and August 2026.
This includes 1.14 million people in IPC Phase 3 / Crisis and 101,000 people in IPC Phase 4 / Emergency. No population is classified in IPC Phase 5 / Catastrophe.
The situation has worsened sharply compared to 874,000 people in Crisis or worse between November 2025 and March 2026.
Food insecurity affects all groups: 725,000 Lebanese residents, 362,000 Syrian refugees, 104,000 Palestine refugees, and around 50,000 post-December 2024 arrivals from Syria are projected to be in IPC Phase 3 or above.
The highest relative severity is among post-December 2024 arrivals from Syria, with 52% facing Crisis or worse, followed by Palestine refugees at 45%, Syrian refugees at 36%, and Lebanese residents at 19%.
The main drivers are renewed conflict, large-scale displacement, loss of livelihoods, rising food and fuel prices, disrupted markets in conflict-affected areas, and expected reductions in humanitarian food assistance from May 2026 onwards.
Fuel prices rose sharply between mid-February and mid-April 2026: diesel increased by 83%, gasoline by 41%, and cooking gas by 27%, increasing transport, food, energy, and household costs.
The report stresses that Lebanon’s main food security problem is affordability rather than national food availability. Food is broadly available nationally, but many households cannot afford it.
The most affected areas include Bent Jbeil, Marjaayoun, El Nabatieh, and Sour, where 55% to 65% of the population is facing high acute food insecurity.
